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  • Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk
    Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk Using the Cox proportional Hazards Model ... to improve underwriting debits and credits. Mortality risk;Longevity risk;Life expectancy;Life insurance ...

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    • Authors: Vincent Granieri
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Underwriting - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics
  • Predictive Modeling Techniques—A Case Study
    Predictive Modeling Techniques—A Case Study A discussion on using the Cox Proportional Hazards ... predictive underwriting model that produces a mortality multiplier for each individual. Predictive modeling ...

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    • Authors: Vincent Granieri
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
    July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting ... The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting & Futurism section’s newsletter, Forecasting & Futurism ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Predictive Analytics and Futurism, June 2017, Issue 15
    Coordinator Ricky Trachtman, FSA, MAAA 2017 Life & Annuity Symposium Coordinator Geof Hileman, FSA, MAAA ... meeting, like the Health section, the Life and Annuity folks, and the Valuation actuaries. Dave describes ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Variable Selection in Predictive Modeling: Does it Really Matter
    enabled by better data availability. For example, mortality risk can be assessed not only by tradi- tional ... about individuals or events that affect the mortality trend. In addition, some new data are categorical ...

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    • Authors: Kailan Shang
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Challenging Old Paradigms—What Are You Going to Do?
    approach. Equity returns were essentially flat in the 2000’s, yet annual expected returns for the asset class ... possibilities that exist for me? Where will I, a typical U.S. citizen a couple decades from retirement, end up ...

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    • Authors: Donald Krouse
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
  • Embrace the Future - But Beware the Smug
    a real-time Delphi session at the 2013 Life & Annuity Sympo- sium. Paula describes this session showing ... her ar- ticle “Delphi Study in Real Time—Life & Annuity Products and Product Development.” EMBRACE THE ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Bayesian Inference in Machine Learning
    Bayesian Inference in Machine Learning A discussion on machine learning and how it can be used ... hypothetical problem in the con- text of a variable annuity (VA) product and apply the Bayesian approach.

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    • Authors: Denis Perevolov
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Dark Side Of The Moon
    Dark Side Of The Moon Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting ... what sent me on this digression. Prior to Luna 3’s poor, grainy 1959 photos, humans collec- tively had ...

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    • Authors: Clark Ramsey
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
    The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge This article discusses ... the Super Bowl, the stock market will rise. • U.S. stock markets are weakest following the election ...

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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